Wednesday, November 24, 2021

Update on COVID number methods

In the charts previously published I have written ICU, I've now realised that the government stats now report people on Mechanical Ventilators (which is not the same).

I don't know for sure if the measure was changed, but I'm pretty sure last year it was ICU - I just never noticed it change.

I'll not change the charts (too time consuming), but I will put a note at the top of the posts to this one to explain.

Thursday, November 18, 2021

Covid numbers again, after half term...

*Update - please see my post on ICU or Mechanical Ventilation for clarification of numbers shown

As ever, the raw data is taken from UK Government Stats and the numbers smoothed with a rolling 7 day average.


Overall Health Numbers (from positive tests to deaths)





Testing Numbers (performed and positive)


Testing volumes and the +ve test rate.




The new(ish) chart - an attempt to map the % transitioning from infection to hospital, to ICU and death with a time lag in the numbers



Wednesday, October 20, 2021

Covid numbers yet again (it's been a while)

*Update - please see my post on ICU or Mechanical Ventilation for clarification of numbers shown

As ever, the raw data is taken from UK Government Stats and the numbers smoothed with a rolling 7 day average.

Overall Health Numbers (from positive tests to deaths)


Testing Numbers (performed and positive)













Positive testing rate (+ve tests against tests taken), with second line removing estimated (based on 0.32%) false positives on Lateral Flow Tests (LFT)












Positive test percentage since Feb 1st, 2021 *AND* positive test percentage allowing for a 0.32% false positive rate on LTF


Testing volumes and the +ve test rate.





And finally - a new chart - an attempt to map the % transitioning from infection to hospital, to ICU and death with a time lag in the numbers


Sunday, June 13, 2021

Covid Numbers to date (and a fifth graph!)

*Update - please see my post on ICU or Mechanical Ventilation for clarification of numbers shown

As ever, the raw data is taken from UK Government Stats and the numbers smoothed with a rolling 7 day average.

Overall Health Numbers (from positive tests to deaths)


Testing Numbers (performed and positive)


Positive testing rate (+ve tests against tests taken), with second line removing estimated (based on 0.32%) false positives on Lateral Flow Tests (LFT)



Positive test percentage since Feb 1st, 2021 *AND* positive test percentage allowing for a 0.32% false positive rate on LTF



And finally, testing volumes and the +ve test rate.